Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.387381 4.914336 5.488000 6.160269 6.928230 7.780137 8.799475
2025-02-09 3.663204 4.374423 5.207328 6.260194 7.563234 9.132776 11.181194
2025-02-16 3.193470 3.999550 4.996701 6.332204 8.091080 10.352106 13.516972
2025-02-23 2.857450 3.718376 4.831630 6.395001 8.563167 11.507439 15.883465
2025-03-02 2.516275 3.377509 4.532075 6.217970 8.658811 12.130067 17.560626
2025-03-09 2.276158 3.140006 4.335745 6.143846 8.865421 12.902776 19.525591
2025-03-16 2.074447 2.932022 4.153379 6.059045 9.030250 13.611246 21.462451
2025-03-23 1.991446 2.884009 4.192172 6.299260 9.704979 15.169238 24.972652
2025-03-30 1.856187 2.744375 4.078420 6.286869 9.969736 16.088291 27.519092
2025-04-06 1.727662 2.602908 3.947239 6.229414 10.146840 16.870059 29.918399
2025-04-13 1.551732 2.373324 3.658077 5.883822 9.795064 16.688313 30.493513
2025-04-20 1.471059 2.288577 3.593224 5.906332 10.081923 17.670171 33.433243
2025-04-27 1.426035 2.260176 3.621336 6.096971 10.701337 19.360521 38.106145
2025-05-04 1.368886 2.207256 3.603902 6.205306 11.181287 20.848247 42.618709
2025-05-11 1.310723 2.147849 3.569811 6.278713 11.600605 22.266630 47.223448
2025-05-18 1.255864 2.089730 3.532633 6.341372 12.003261 23.698837 52.109023
2025-05-25 1.170080 1.971215 3.378416 6.166131 11.905128 24.058420 54.512263
2025-06-01 1.106493 1.887825 3.281493 6.092733 12.007573 24.861692 58.139195
2025-06-08 1.046672 1.807256 3.183824 6.008740 12.077486 25.598726 61.728028
2025-06-15 1.033087 1.810434 3.243023 6.246674 12.870283 28.099349 70.464904
2025-06-22 0.989153 1.754005 3.184053 6.234401 13.104180 29.307483 75.894418
2025-06-29 0.943114 1.690689 3.107235 6.177493 13.229522 30.266257 80.802944
2025-07-06 0.868120 1.567641 2.905060 5.835176 12.655344 29.402122 80.149138